Ev wrong

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Ev wrong

Postby allderio » Sat Jun 27, 2020 10:57 am

Can you explain to me why PT4 gives me a negative EV (All-in adj bb) to this hand? This is truly a big bug PokerStars Hand #215813450933: Tournament #2939806957, €4.40+€0.60 EUR Hold'em No Limit - Level XII (150/300) [AAMS ID: M4ED211528082DHZ] - 2020/06/27 16:38:19 CET [2020/06/27 10:38:19 ET]
Table '2939806957 38' 9-max Seat #5 is the button
Seat 1: Cocoban (30667 in chips)
Seat 2: martino.asr (17879 in chips)
Seat 3: Dark_Queen12 (17176 in chips)
Seat 4: DeepGroove80 (16346 in chips)
Seat 5: marc69773 (20860 in chips)
Seat 6: STAFFDEN (19151 in chips)
Seat 7: Drasko53 (18070 in chips)
Seat 8: CESCODODI (1161 in chips)
Seat 9: cicciolo53 (8650 in chips)
Cocoban: posts the ante 40
martino.asr: posts the ante 40
Dark_Queen12: posts the ante 40
DeepGroove80: posts the ante 40
marc69773: posts the ante 40
STAFFDEN: posts the ante 40
Drasko53: posts the ante 40
CESCODODI: posts the ante 40
cicciolo53: posts the ante 40
STAFFDEN: posts small blind 150
Drasko53: posts big blind 300
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to DeepGroove80 [Kd Kc]
CESCODODI: raises 821 to 1121 and is all-in
cicciolo53: folds
Cocoban: folds
martino.asr: folds
Dark_Queen12: folds
DeepGroove80: calls 1121
marc69773: calls 1121
STAFFDEN: folds
Drasko53: folds
*** FLOP *** [Qh 6d 6s]
DeepGroove80: bets 1210
marc69773: raises 18489 to 19699 and is all-in
DeepGroove80: calls 13975 and is all-in
Uncalled bet (4514) returned to marc69773
*** TURN *** [Qh 6d 6s] [Qd]
*** RIVER *** [Qh 6d 6s Qd] [8d]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
DeepGroove80: shows [Kd Kc] (two pair, Kings and Queens)
marc69773: shows [7s Qs] (a full house, Queens full of Sixes)
marc69773 collected 30370 from side pot
CESCODODI: shows [Jc 8s] (two pair, Queens and Eights)
marc69773 collected 4173 from main pot
DeepGroove80 finished the tournament
CESCODODI finished the tournament
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 34543 Main pot 4173. Side pot 30370. | Rake 0
Board [Qh 6d 6s Qd 8d]
Seat 1: Cocoban folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 2: martino.asr folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 3: Dark_Queen12 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 4: DeepGroove80 showed [Kd Kc] and lost with two pair, Kings and Queens
Seat 5: marc69773 (button) showed [7s Qs] and won (34543) with a full house, Queens full of Sixes
Seat 6: STAFFDEN (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 7: Drasko53 (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 8: CESCODODI showed [Jc 8s] and lost with two pair, Queens and Eights
Seat 9: cicciolo53 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
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allderio
 
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Re: Ev wrong

Postby WhiteRider » Sat Jun 27, 2020 11:38 am

All-in adjusted equity is not calculated in hands like this where a player calls an all-in and then subsequently folds. When further actions are possible after more information becomes available then those players who can act have further choices and only the stronger hands are likely to get to showdown (with weaker hands folding) and this would introduce a bias against you in the results.
WhiteRider
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